Numerical and Computational Methods in Sciences and Engineering
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Journal

Numerical and Computational Methods in Sciences and Engineering


Volume
& Issue

Volume 4, Issue 1


Published
on

March 1, 2022


Pages

1-11


DOI

Article

A fractional-order model of Lassa Hemorrhagic Fever and its Influence on the Pregnant Women

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Authors

H. M. Ali* Affiliation:
Physics Department, Faculty of Science, Sohag University, 82524 Sohag, Egypt.
, S. Z. Rida Affiliation:
Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, South Valley University, Qena, Egypt
, A. M. Yousef Affiliation:
Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, South Valley University, Qena, Egypt
and A. S. Zaki Affiliation:
Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, Aswan University, Aswan 81528, Egypt


Abstract

In this work, we aim to explain and analyze the mathematical model of equations that depicts Lassa hemorrhagic fever (LHF) dynamics in the pregnant women population. We presented the mathematical formulation of LHF in the form of a fractional-order model (FOM) based on the Caputo fractional derivative. We considered the generalized mean value theorem to illustrate the positivity, existence and uniqueness of the obtained solutions. Moreover, we investigated the stability analysis at all equilibrium points and obtained the basic reproduction number $R_0$ and study its effect on the behavior of the pregnant women population. This FOM is solved by two methods, one of them is called the generalized Mittag-Leffler function method (GMLFM) described an analytic-approximate solution, another method gives the numerical solution called the predictor-corrector method (PCM). GMLFM is used to give appropriate results as a series of time variable to get the desired solution at any time and PCM is implemented to get the FOM solution over a long period of time. The efficiency of the given methods and the effect of the fractional operator was clarified by simulations of our results in some figures.


Keywords

Lassa Hemorrhagic Fever, Fractional Differential Equations, Stability Analysis, Generalized Mittag-Leffler Function Method, Predictor-Corrector Method


Citation

Ali, H. M., Rida, S. Z., Yousef, A. M., & Zaki, A. S. (2022). A fractional-order model of lassa hemorrhagic fever and its influence on the pregnant women. Numerical and Computational Methods in Sciences and Engineering, 4(1), 1–11. https://doi.org/10.18576/ncmse/040101

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