Applied Mathematics and Nonlinear Sciences
Journal license

Journal

Applied Mathematics and Nonlinear Sciences


Volume
& Issue

Volume 1, Issue 1


Published
on

March 15, 2016


Pages

207-228


DOI

Article

A model for the operations to render epidemic-free a hog farm infected by the Aujeszky disease

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Authors

A. Costamagna Affiliation:
Dipartimento di Matematica “Giuseppe Peano”, Università di Torino, via Carlo Alberto 10, 10123 Torino, Italy
, M. Drigo Affiliation:
Dipartimento di Sanità Pubblica, Patologia Comparata e Igiene Veterinaria, Università di Padova, Padova, Italy
, M. Martini Affiliation:
Dipartimento di Sanità Pubblica, Patologia Comparata e Igiene Veterinaria, Università di Padova, Padova, Italy
, B. Sona Affiliation:
ASL CN1, Servizio Veterinario, S.C. Sanità Animale II, Regione Piemonte, Turin, Italy
and E. Venturino Affiliation:
Dipartimento di Matematica “Giuseppe Peano”, Università di Torino, via Carlo Alberto 10, 10123 Torino, Italy


Abstract

We present here a case study for modelling the control of the Aujeszky disease, in a farm declared virus-free. The model is validated on the available data. Simulations are performed to assess different containment strategies for the epidemic. Final recommendations indicate that a strict reduction of biohazards in the farrowing unit should be enforced. Also neglecting the third inoculation in the vaccination protocol leads to a sensible and quantifiable increase of the prevalence of the disease. The findings indicate that it is more important to keep biosafety at a high level in the farrowing unit rather than strive for the highest standards in the gestation unit. Also the importance of a properly implemented vaccination appears fundamental, and its absence can be quantified via our simulations.


Keywords

Data Analysis, mathematical modelling, simulations, epidemics, control measures, 92D30


Citation

Costamagna, A., Drigo, M., Martini, M., Sona, B., & Venturino, E. (2016). A model for the operations to render epidemic-free a hog farm infected by the aujeszky disease. Applied Mathematics and Nonlinear Sciences, 1(1), 207–228. https://doi.org/10.21042/AMNS.2016.1.00016

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