Applied Mathematics and Nonlinear Sciences
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Journal

Applied Mathematics and Nonlinear Sciences


Volume
& Issue

Volume 10, Issue 1


Published
on

March 17, 2025


Pages


DOI

Article

Research on Investment Measurement Model of Grid Infrastructure Projects Based on Improved Discrete Gray Forecasting

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Authors

Zhiyong Chen Affiliation:
State Grid Hebei Economic Institute, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, 050000, China.
, Liangdong Qin Affiliation:
State Grid Hebei Economic Institute, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, 050000, China.
, Pengfei Sun Affiliation:
State Grid Hebei Electric Power Co., Ltd, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, 050000, China.
, Zihao Zhao Affiliation:
State Grid Hebei Economic Institute, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, 050000, China.
and Wei Guo Affiliation:
State Grid Hebei Economic Institute, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, 050000, China.


Abstract

The article researches a grid infrastructure investment measurement model based on gray prediction. It establishes a grid infrastructure investment measurement index system that can scientifically respond to the development needs of grid construction, and then establishes a prediction model of relevant indexes using gray prediction theory to accurately predict the development trend of the measurement indexes. The article develops a gray metabolic discrete MDGM (1, 1) model that addresses the challenges of predicting grid development demand in grid infrastructure investment measurement. Using the investment measurement model proposed in this paper, the residual ratio C is calculated to be 0.118, the probability of small error P is 0.984, and the trend of the data obtained from the prediction is basically in line with the trend of the real value data, which can be obtained that the model proposed in this paper is of excellent quality and can be used for the prediction of the trend component of the transmission power.


Keywords

Discrete gray prediction, Investment measurement, Grid infrastructure, Measurement model, 03C65


Citation

Chen, Z., Qin, L., Sun, P., Zhao, Z., & Guo, W. (2025). Research on investment measurement model of grid infrastructure projects based on improved discrete gray forecasting. Applied Mathematics and Nonlinear Sciences, 10(1). https://doi.org/10.2478/amns-2025-0340

Published by: Engineering Journals

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