Applied Mathematics and Nonlinear Sciences
Journal license

Journal

Applied Mathematics and Nonlinear Sciences


Volume
& Issue

Volume 5, Issue 1


Published
on

February 28, 2020


Pages

55-60


DOI

Article

Tourists Forecast Lanzhou Based on the Baolan High-Speed Railway by the Arima Model

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Authors

Lijun Li Affiliation:
School of Economic & Management, Shijiazhuang Tiedao University, Shijiazhuang 050043, China
, Yaru Wang Affiliation:
School of Economic & Management, Shijiazhuang Tiedao University, Shijiazhuang 050043, China
and Xiaoyue Li Affiliation:
Fisher College of Business, Ohio State University, Columbus OH43210, USA


Abstract

According to the analysis from the number of tourists who went to Lanzhou during 2009–2019, the ARIMA model of the number of tourists to Lanzhou was established. The results show that the AR(3) model is used to predict the number of tourists who traveled to Lanzhou during 2009–2019. The average relative error between the predicted value and the actual value is 1.03%, which can be used to predict and analyze the number of tourists in Lanzhou in the future.


Keywords

Baolan high-speed railway, Lanzhou, time series, rational, prediction, 91B74, 62M20, 65G50


Citation

Li, L., Wang, Y., & Li, X. (2020). Tourists forecast lanzhou based on the baolan high-speed railway by the arima model. Applied Mathematics and Nonlinear Sciences, 5(1), 55–60. https://doi.org/10.2478/amns.2020.1.00006

Published by: Engineering Journals

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