Applied Mathematics and Nonlinear Sciences
Journal license

Journal

Applied Mathematics and Nonlinear Sciences


Volume
& Issue

Volume 8, Issue 2


Published
on

September 25, 2023


Pages


DOI

Article

Forecasting Stock Market Volatility via Causal Reasoning

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Authors

Dan Yang Affiliation:
Shaanxi Business College, Xi’an 710119, China.
and Di Lu Affiliation:
International Business School, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi’an 710119, China


Abstract

Studies have shown that Internet financial news has become an important reference for investors in investment behavior. In order to simulate trading experiments that mimic the real stock market, this paper develops a stock volatility prediction model based on causal reasoning. It also gathers and cleans news and stock market data from the Internet, such as opening price, closing price, and change. The findings of the study indicate that the level of stock market volatility can be significantly influenced by online financial news. The proposed model can analyze the effects of news and stock market data in an explainable manner.


Keywords

Causal Inference, Summary Generation, Sentiment Value Calculation, Stock Volatility Prediction, 91B82


Citation

Yang, D. & Lu, D. (2023). Forecasting stock market volatility via causal reasoning. Applied Mathematics and Nonlinear Sciences, 8(2). https://doi.org/10.2478/amns.2023.2.01131

Published by: Engineering Journals

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