Applied Mathematics and Nonlinear Sciences
Journal license

Journal

Applied Mathematics and Nonlinear Sciences


Volume
& Issue

Volume 9, Issue 1


Published
on

November 14, 2024


Pages


DOI

Article

Research on Multidimensional Data Analysis and Predictive Modeling for International Political Stability Assessment


Authors

Yupu Xu Affiliation:
Shanghai International Studies University, Shanghai, 201600, China.


Abstract

International political stability has been a hot issue of global concern. Starting from the factors influencing international political stability, the study constructs a prediction model based on the CNN neural network and takes some international countries as the case study objects to predict the political stability of each country. The system of political stability influencing factor indicators is constructed. 13 influencing factor indicators are selected and divided into three categories, and the warning intervals of early warning indicators are determined. The study trained and validated the CNN neural network model, and the results showed that the mean square error of the prediction model was 1.862 × 108, the average accuracy of the model was 1.53%, and the relative error of each year was within ±4%, which reached the set model accuracy, and thus the prediction model proposed in this paper can be highly accurate. Subsequently, 44 countries along the route were selected to carry out political stability prediction research using the early warning model, and finally, the political stability of some countries was investigated according to the stability interval level classification method, and the results showed that the political stability of Syria, Iran, and many other countries had a high-risk phenomenon.


Keywords

CNN neural network, Stability prediction, Early warning model, International politics, 94A16


Citation

Xu, Y. (2024). Research on multidimensional data analysis and predictive modeling for international political stability assessment. Applied Mathematics and Nonlinear Sciences, 9(1). https://doi.org/10.2478/amns-2024-3255

Published by: Engineering Journals

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