Applied Mathematics and Nonlinear Sciences
Journal license

Journal

Applied Mathematics and Nonlinear Sciences


Volume
& Issue

Volume 5, Issue 2


Published
on

August 20, 2020


Pages


DOI

Article

A Research Based On POT-CAViaR Model of Extreme Risk Measure

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Authors

Baoshuai Zhang Affiliation:
School of Economics and Management, Chongqing Normal University, Chongqing 401331 China
and Jun Duan Affiliation:
School of Economics and Management, Chongqing Normal University, Chongqing 401331 China


Abstract

In this paper, the CAViaR model was used to measure the HS300, HSI and N225 risk levels and result showed that CAViaR model was able to measure the sample risk value at the 5% confidence level. However, at the 1% confidence level, the CAViaR model severely underestimated the sample risk value. In order to solve this question, this paper introduces the POT model and CAViaR model to construct the extreme risk measure model based on POT-CAViaR model and the test shows that the improved model can effectively improve the accuracy of extreme risk prediction and the model validity is strengthened.


Keywords

CAViaR Model, POT Model, Extreme Risk, 03C30


Citation

Zhang, B. & Duan, J. (2020). A research based on pot-caviar model of extreme risk measure. Applied Mathematics and Nonlinear Sciences, 5(2). https://doi.org/10.2478/amns.2020.2.00040

Published by: Engineering Journals

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