Applied Mathematics and Nonlinear Sciences
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Journal

Applied Mathematics and Nonlinear Sciences


Volume
& Issue

Volume 9, Issue 1


Published
on

November 11, 2024


Pages


DOI

Article

Daily Load Forecasting and Data-Driven Strategies for Steel Industry Based on Random Forest Modeling

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Authors

Siteng Wang Affiliation:
State Grid East Inner Mongolia Power Supply Service Supervision and Support Center, Tongliao, Inner Mongolia, 028000, China.
, Luxi Zhang Affiliation:
State Grid East Inner Mongolia Power Supply Service Supervision and Support Center, Tongliao, Inner Mongolia, 028000, China.
, Zhiyuan Cao Affiliation:
State Grid East Inner Mongolia Power Supply Service Supervision and Support Center, Tongliao, Inner Mongolia, 028000, China.
, Rui Zhang Affiliation:
State Grid East Inner Mongolia Power Supply Service Supervision and Support Center, Tongliao, Inner Mongolia, 028000, China.
and Liwei Zhang Affiliation:
Beijing Tsingsoft Technology Co., Ltd., Beijing, 100085, China.


Abstract

As a large power consumer, the iron and steel industry urgently needs to improve productivity, reduce energy consumption, and save costs by revolutionizing energy management. In this study, we design a power demand management system for the iron and steel industry, and around the load management module, we propose a data-driven strategy based on daily load situational awareness and introduce the random forest model into daily load forecasting in the iron and steel industry. At the same time, the projection principle is applied to improve the traditional gray correlation similar day selection algorithm, and a combination method of daily load forecasting based on the gray projection improved random forest algorithm is proposed. The electric load data of the iron and steel industry in a specific region is utilized as an experimental sample to investigate the model’s forecasting performance and the impact of the data-driven strategy. The model for daily load forecasting in this paper has an average relative error of 1.18%, which is better than other models. The application of the data-driven strategy brought about 6.99% and 6.69% reductions in load demand and basic electricity cost. The data-driven strategy for the steel industry based on the Random Forest model can predict electric loads more accurately and reduce energy costs, as shown by the results.


Keywords

Gray correlation projection method, Random forest, Daily load forecasting, Situational awareness, Steel industry, 94A16


Citation

Wang, S., Zhang, L., Cao, Z., Zhang, R., & Zhang, L. (2024). Daily load forecasting and data-driven strategies for steel industry based on random forest modeling. Applied Mathematics and Nonlinear Sciences, 9(1). https://doi.org/10.2478/amns-2024-3147

Published by: Engineering Journals

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